Data shown below has been taken from the free book "QUEENSLAND ELECTION 2001" published by the Electoral Commission of Queensland. Similar books are still available for the 1995 and 1998 elections. See also www.ecq.qld.gov.au .
One Nation contested 39 out of the 89 electorates having been re-registered the day the election was announced. Note that as the 1998 state election was held on 13 June 1998 it would have been possible under the Electoral Act for the Labor Government to hold an election as late as 22 September 2001. It was an early election possibly called before the Queensland office of the Australian Electoral Commission had adequate time to finish its task of removing incorrectly and fraudulently enrolled people from the roll. About 800,000 letters were sent out shortly before the election date was announced. It appears the ALP leadership were afraid of what might happen to their vote if an accurate roll existed.
To follow the analysis you have to be aware of the difference between a candidate's primary vote, say 23%, and their distributed vote, say 41%. The latter is higher due to the distribution of the preferences of excluded candidates. Where a candidate is the first to be excluded or is the third candidate in a contest with 3 candidates there will be no difference between the primary and distsributed vote.
ALBERT: Rod Evans ran second with 37.35% of the distributed vote.Seat won by the ALP from the NPA whose primary vote fell to 11.95% from 33.77% in 1998. In 1998 the PHON distributed vote was 28.26% when Rod Evans was third.
BARRON RIVER:Peter Starr ran third with 19.95% of the distributed vote. In 1998 it was 28.04% . Seat won by the ALP as the Liberals primary vote dropped from 29.88% in 1998 to 16.23% in 2001. 20.24% of phon preferences to ALP.
BEAUDESERT: Rae Benson ran third with 31.06% of the distributed vote, up from 30.15% in 1998.Won by the Nationals who got 70.57% on PHON preferences. PHON primary vote increased from 27.4% to 29.53% in 2001.
BURDEKIN: Merle Poletto ran fourth with 19.66% of both the primary and distributed vote.ALP won with 36.72% of the primary vote and 16.93% on PHON preferences plus 32.03% of Jeff Knuth's preferences. PHON won it in1998.
BURLEIGH: Colleen Pepperell ran third with 16.96% of both the primary and distributed vote.Won by the ALP from the Nationals narrowly even though 66.28% of PHON preferences went to the Nationals. 1998 PHON vote was 21.57%.
CAIRNS: Peter Gargan ran third with 21.32% of the distributed vote. In 1998 it was 47.74%. Always an easy win for the ALP who have held it since 1904. In 2001 their primary vote increased to 51.53% from 39.05% in 1998.
CALLIDE: Jim Dwyer ran second with 47.68% of the distributed vote. In 1998 it was 47.72%. Retained by the Nationals with 48.54% of ALP preferences. An unusual inland electorate in that formal votes increased by 6,429 since 1998.
CALOUNDRA: Bruce Tannock ran third with 20.5% of the distributed vote. In 1998 it was 26.6%. Retained by the Liberals with 47% of PHON preferences. ALP narrowly lost by 403 votes having inreased their primary vote to 36.31%.
CAPALABA: Mike O'Rourke ran fifth with 12.44% of the distributed vote. No PHON candidate in 1998. Unusual in that PHON prefernces did not favour anybody. They went to ALP 21.14%, Libs 30.26%, M. Elliott 18.81%, T.Bowler 29.8%.
CHARTER'S TOWERS: Mark Ree ran third with 21.64% of the primary and disributed vote. PHON primary vote in 1998 was 26.22%. Won by ALP off the Nationals with 27.61% of PHON preferences. The reverse situation to 1998.
CHATSWORTH: Gabriel Echaubard ran third with 11.83% of the distributed vote. 1998 PHON primary vote was 16.86% when Brian Annear-Walker was our candidate. Area now part of the huge swag of Brisbane seats held by ALP.
COOK: Alan Webb ran second with 27.14% of the distributed vote. In 1998 the PHON distributed vote was 34.48% thus outpolling the Nationals in an area always won by the ALP because of the aboriginal population. Runs up to Cape York.
CUNNINGHAM: David Drinan ran third with 28.06% of the distributed vote. !n 1998 it was 41.15% to have us run second. City Country Alliance split diminished our membership in the area but they picked up only 2.21% of primaries.
CURRUMBIN: Maurice Horsburgh, Qld PHON Email Wizard, ran third with 16.16% of the distributed vote. In 1998 it was 22.83%. Won by ALP again as the booths along the beaches have lots of renters. Liberals primary vote now 25.55%.
GLASS HOUSE: Santo Ferraro ran third with 24.7% of the distributed vote. A redistributed seat in an area won by PHON in 1998. ALP won with 29.21% of the PHON preferences. City Country Alliance won only 3.54% of primaries.
GYMPIE: Elisa Roberts won with 53.26% of the distributed vote . In 1998 it was 48.3% so she did well. We won on Nationals preferences of 79.11% and C.C.A. preferences of 52.59%. Nationals primary vote dropped from 31.3 to 24.7%
HERVEY BAY: Wes Robinson, PHON state president, ran second with 43.37% of the distributed vote. In 1998 it was 55.28% to give us the seat. C.C.A. split cost us the seat as they picked up 18.45% of the primary vote . Won by ALP.
HINCHINBROOK: Robert Ralph ran second with 47.23% of the distributed vote. In 1998 it was 41.44%. Won narrowly by the Nationals with a favourable distribution of CCA 17.91%, LANCINI 45.97% and ALP 52.5% preferences
INDOOROOPILLY: John Drew ran sixth with 3.87% of the distributed vote. Not an easy area to be a PHON candidate due to all the idealistic, politically correct students and academics who live near the gigantic University of Queensland.
IPSWICH: Rita Magnussen ran second with 33.24% of the distriduted vote.In 1998 it was 46.58% in an area where Pauline is particularly well known. City Country Alliance had lots of members there but managed only 1% of the vote!
IPSWICH WEST: Bod Dutton ran second with 42.7% of the distributed vote. In 1998 it was 51.85% as we won it on National preferences. ALP won it back with a combination of returning PHON voters and the CCA's Jack Paff's 5.12%.
KAWANA: Kevin Savage ran third with 19.14% of the primary vote.Redistributed seat won by the ALP with 53.3% of PHON preferences. Should be a Liberal seat but they only got 38.38% of the primaries compared to the ALP's 42.48%.
LOCKYER: Bill Flynn won with 57.3% of the distributed vote. Area used to be a National Party stronghold as they got 66.62% of the primary vote in 1995. This dropped to 25.54% in 1998 thus giving the seat to PHON's Peter Prenzler.
MAROOCHYDORE: Rowena Wellard ran third with 19.08% of the primary vote. In 1998 it was 27.57%. Won by the Nationals with 68.41% of PHON preferences. In 1995 they got 57.67% of the primaries. In 2001 it was only 39.79%.
MIRANI: Rob Robinson ran third with 24.52% of the distributed vote. In 1998 it was 29.89%. Won by the Nationals with 73.2% of PHON preferences . Seat held by Nationals since 1947 but a classic struggle territory between them and us.
MOUNT GRAVATT: Edmund Mcmahon ran third with 10.82% of the distributed vote. In 1998 it was 14.17%. One of the many Brisbane seats held in a strong grip by the ALP. Edmund......B.Arts (hons).....is the President of the Morningside branch.
MOUNT ISA: Larry Braden ran second with 33.77% of the distributed vote. In 1998 it was 34.38%. Seat won by the sinister ALP Police Minister Tony Mcgrady.We have now displaced the Nationals as the second largest party in the area.
MULGRAVE: Dominic Frisone ran second with 38.71% of the distributed vote.In 1998 we won it with 54.15% . Subsequently lost to the ALP in a by-election. PHON now outpolls the Nationals in an area they got 46% in 1995.
Please note that this analysis is continued on page seven of the Ryan PHON Branch website.
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