Between the lines: NZ still bleeding its assets 08.03.2001 By BRIAN FALLOW
The Overseas Investment Commission's figures for the second half of
last year make depressing reading.
But not for the reason advanced by John Luxton, National's spokesman
on inward investment.
He points to the decline from $3 billion worth of net investment approved
in the first half of last year to less than $300 million in the second
half as indicating a loss of confidence on the part of overseas investors
in the policies of the Government.
The figures are especially surprising, Mr Luxton says, because of the
low value of the dollar.
But the figures for the first half were swollen by the $5 billion sale
of Fletcher Paper to Norske Skog. The buyout of the New Zealand minority
shareholders in Fletcher Paper counts as "net investment" and accounts
for most of the difference between the $900 million the commission initially
reported for the first half last September and the revised $3 billion it
records now that the terms of that deal are no longer confidential.
Now that Shell has secured Fletcher Energy, a similar boost will occur
to the current half-year's figures, but it is unlikely that Mr Luxton will
issue a press release lauding sound Government policies responsible for
that turnaround in international investor sentiment.
What is dispiriting about the OIC figures is that they continue to
chronicle the transfer of ownership of New Zealand assets abroad.
In the latest half-year, 91 per cent of the the $260 million of foreign
investment approved consisted of agreement for Singapore Airlines to acquire
25 per cent of Air New Zealand, Credit Suisse First Boston to acquire 27
per cent of Fletcher Forests and the Commonwealth Bank to take out the
25 per cent of ASB it did not already own.
By contrast, the investment classified as greenfields is a meagre trickle
- $22 million in the second half of last year and $26 million in the first
half.
Indicators of portfolio investment tell a similar story. Foreign holdings
of New Zealand Government bonds and Treasury bills have halved over the
past two years. And a Deutsche Bank study found that the level of overseas
ownership of New Zealand listed companies has been declining since 1996,
from 61 per cent then to 54 per cent last year.
One other indicator of the way foreign investors feel about New Zealand
has improved, however.
The balance of payments statistics break down how much of the collective
profits of foreign controlled companies in New Zealand - and that is most
of the big ones - is paid out in dividends and how much is ploughed back
into the businesses which generated them.
In the mid-1990s as the current account deteriorated the Government
spin was that the figures overstated the cash impact because most of the
profits were being retained.
But we didn't hear that line much in the last term of the previous
Government.
In the three years to September 1999, of the $10.6 billion earned by
foreign-owned companies in New Zealand 95 per cent was paid out in dividends
and only 5 per cent retained.
In the latest September year - the most recent figures available -
the payout ratio had dropped to 70 per cent.
We need to re-nationalise our assets (intelligently,
or we get nuked by the USA), and make the money stay in the country.
Air Pollution New Zealand's shocking environmental
pollution.
Solar hot water systems obligatory. Carbon-tax,
invested in electric car & eco technology.
A govt 5wise men gremium to spend
1c on the litre of petrol on gyro-gearlose inventors, keeping 50 % of license
dow.
Deforestation and pests in New Zealand. Historically
catastrophic, not much different today.
Massive eradication of pests, massive replanting,
new and effective eco-laws, strictly enforced.
too right!
New Zealand trains are another chance for ecological transport, but receive no serious ecological investment, NZ railways are milked for what they are worth. The real costs of the evironment is paid later. Current profits are huge and go entirely to foreign "investors". We need to set "business conduct" rules, and mandatory reinvestment in our future.
High Crime Rate (and Men's inequality ;-) ...
Property
crime where the underpriviledged try to get their share...
Education and guaranteed welfare. Youth-centres,
I am not the right person to ask.
The Opossum-Plague they eat our forest
and compete with fragile bird-life....
Sell possum-fur-lined-gum-boots
"only from real New Zealand Possum-Plague-fur" and at the same time have
draconic punishments for those breeding possums here.
A honourable and inventive government
scheme.
(please email me the links to your pages!)
Norbert HALEY Poste Restante P.O.Wellesley St. Auckland New ZealandIf you can contribute please send a email to: click here