The Little Book On Watching Horseracing
By Harold Washburn

PACE... It is said "pace makes the race"

(Horses can run at their top speed for only a quarter to a half mile).

Horses with early speed are most likely to be seriously considered when there are no other horses in the field which are most likely to contend for the early lead assuming equal Class. In other words, a horse with demonstrably consistent early speed is afforded extra consideration when there is the likelihood that particular horse will be out in front setting his own fractions.

So, horses who are prone to press the pace just off the early leaders gain an advantage when there is more than one horse in the field that is more than likely to contest the early lead for the simple reason that the front runners have a tendency to tire each other in vying for the early advantage. Conversely, horses that are prone to be slow starters and make one run have a distinct disadvantage in coming from off the pace if there is but a single speed horse, since the front runner can set his own pace and have something in reserve, plus the closer will have to circle horse in the latter stages of a race barring fortuitous racing luck. The chances for late runners improve considerably when there is the likelihood of a speed due] for the early lead which takes its toll the longer the race goes, and, no pace forcing type runner has the ability or the Class to capitalize on the opportunity.

The running styles of all runners in the field need be carefully analyzed and fractional times diligently noted in order to accurately determine what he pace will most likely be in any given race. The PROBABLE PERFORMANCE OF THE REAL CONTENDERS can be pre determined while considering what effect an outclassed or unfit or otherwise unlikely horse will have on the early pace.


 

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